EconomyWritten by Havre On 09 October 2012
Hawaiian Airlines Lowers 3rd Quarter Forecast

Hawaiian Airlines (HA, NYSE, 52 week range 4.10 – 7.00) cut its third quarter revenue guidance to Wall Street ahead of its earnings announcement later this month. The company is now saying that revenue per passenger mile will fall between 5.2 percent to 6.2 percent. On Sept. 4th, the company expected a drop between 1.5 percent and 4.5 percent. Higher competition in a number of its important routes is driving the lowering of expectations as it affects the airline’s ability to maintain fares at higher levels.

In an 8K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Hawaiian does say that traffic for the quarter is up 25.2 percent, primarily due to an increase of 28 percent in the number of available seats. Hawaiian started flying Honolulu to New York in June. For the year, traffic is up 18.5 percent.

The airline also wants to lower maintenance costs as it adds newer aircraft. It should contribute to the bottom line.

Investors were not happy about the news, sending Hawaiian’s shares down with an intra-day low of 5.29, down 7.2 percent, closing at 5.35, down 6.1 percent.

From Hawaiian’s press release: Hawaiian offers nonstop service to Hawai’i from more U.S. gateway cities (11) than any other airline, along with service from Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Australia, American Samoa, and Tahiti. New nonstop service will begin between Honolulu and Sapporo, Japan (October 30, 2012), Brisbane, Australia (November 27, 2012), and Auckland, New Zealand (March 13, 2013). Hawaiian also provides approximately 170 daily jet flights between the Hawaiian Islands.

 

Traffic Statistics
Systemwide Operations
SEPTEMBER

2012

2011

% Change

PAX

760,633

691,166

10.1%

RPMS (000)

1,060,586

837,177

26.7%

ASMS (000)

1,298,136

994,606

30.5%

LF

81.7%

84.2%

(2.5 pts.)
THIRD QUARTER

2012

2011

% Change

PAX

2,521,886

2,269,043

11.1%

RPMS (000)

3,376,257

2,696,892

25.2%

ASMS (000)

4,052,248

3,166,417

28.0%

LF

83.3%

85.2%

(1.9 pts.)
YEAR-TO-DATE

2012

2011

% Change

PAX

7,070,575

6,511,009

8.6%

RPMS (000)

8,938,530

7,543,667

18.5%

ASMS (000)

10,680,632

8,935,104

19.5%

LF

83.7%

84.4%

(0.7 pts.)
PAX: Passengers transported
RPM: One paying passenger transported one mile
ASM: One seat transported one mile
LF:     Percentage of seating capacity utilized

 

 

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About Author

Havre

Randy Havre has a wealth of experience in the financial industry. In 1987, he established his own full-service stock brokerage firm, which was also registered with the SEC as an Investment Advisory Firm, managing money for the State of Hawaii’s pension fund, among other portfolios. In 1994, he started his first of three Hawaii based Venture Capital Funds. Additionally, he wrote a weekly stock column in the Pacific Business News for 21 years, taught Finance 315 Portfolio Management and Investment Strategies at the University of Hawaii for five years and is on KHON’s Morning News as a business/financial analysis twice weekly. Over the past nine years, Havre has been active in South America doing business development work for some of his portfolio companies, mentoring entrepreneurs and advising investors.

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